This alert expired on 5 July 2026 at 02:30 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 3rd strongest of the 76 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 12 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 14 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued July 4 at 9:41PM EDT until July 4 at 10:30PM EDT by NWS Mount Holly NJ
An estimated 1,630,068 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 12 March 2026
- July 10, 2026 · score 52 · 5.9 km
- September 1, 2026 · score 46 · 6.2 km
- May 20, 2026 · score 52 · 8.3 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 52 out of 100, at 79 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Event Data
| Type | Severe weather |
| Severity | medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 52 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 79% |
| Coordinates | 40.1618, -73.9476 |
| Nearest City | Asbury Park (8 km) |
| Population Exposed | 1.6M within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-07-05T01:41:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Severe Thunderstorm Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.eaba08f6af603ffd72866b53d0a1f50d |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Severe Thunderstorm Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Atlantic, NJ; Cape May, NJ; Cumberland, NJ; Ocean, NJ; Kent, DE; New Castle, DE; Cumberland, NJ; Salem, NJ; Burlington, NJ; Hunterdon, NJ; Mercer, NJ; Middlesex, NJ; Monmouth, NJ; Somerset, NJ; Bucks, PA; Philadelphia, PA and 6 more areas |
| Headline | Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued July 4 at 9:41PM EDT until July 4 at 10:30PM EDT by NWS Mount Holly NJ |
| Expires | 2026-07-04T22:30:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Mount Holly NJ |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 10 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.eaba08f6af603ffd72866b53d0a1f50de3dded45.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.333dd0eb95d32b163cc5fe69d0398abe69844141.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.f3db0c26b85e373ccae55c63ccb843c24b62bbfc.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.38aae4510f6d2de873ab77d3d749d837d1303579.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.edc4ceb937e0b777313819cec3b2b116d2f02439.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.6f0b2b034110ba40c54ac2502e9c67af5e91e4ec.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.4cfe9f7055aaee9bd8c6d4537d3af3a9b4d8f7fd.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.677cad1aaf15f437d772b9c29e24519e2d5b86ac.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.031b8d117d255fb29d053efc7209913d94dfb4be.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.0a3e73903323328665f7f0679e0a5a953d9f7ba6.001.1"] |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 10 February 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Want to know when something happens near Asbury Park?
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 52/100, near Asbury Park (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.